Crude Oil moved yesterday out of the indecision zone between $94.00 and $95.50 levels, now retesting the lower border that turned into first resistance.
I plotted on the H4 chart the most probable 2 scenarios that are pointing lower, in the $90.00 area as the main target for a down move. However, we have to pay attention to US Dollar price action and the news from Iran (instability rumors from this area will rise the oil price).
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAW1cgqMF65Dbyx2I8HDIyHvotsiixbvutdKbssMcaNysPGXPLQYe8Z3lhva60i8LdPs7ZXe_2OP3EF21vKpdmZ9fATDyEAWCUGDvOpDkqGqGr_aKYm41IcQCuL8VU1RujLi9MIFZOtA/s320/crude-oil-technical-analysis-15min-2011-12-16.jpg)
Here, the target for a swing down (AB=CD) is in the $91.50 area. PAY ATTENTION! Crude Oil can travel up to $94.90 (creatin a 3 wave up move correction) before the descending trend will resume(see it on the h4 chart).
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